UPDATE: See all the winners from the 2016 Oscars!
Leonardo DiCaprio could win the Best Actor Oscar and be so elated on stage that he announces plans to star in a Titanic sequel called Jack Live! It won’t make a difference. The 2016 Oscars campaign will be remembered as the year in which a glaring lack of diversity among the nominees (again) sparked an #OscarsSoWhite uproar and led to much-needed change within the Academy ranks. It’s a controversial, hot-button topic that host Chris Rock will surely address in the show’s opening moments on February 28.
Not to say that the night won’t feature any high-stakes suspense. Though some categories were cinched before the Christmas presents were even unwrapped, the ultimate prize — Best Picture — remains a toss-up. The same goes for some of the first envelope-opens of the night. But will this uncertainty stop an Oscar fanatic who saw all the nominated movies and performances from making a few bold predictions anyway? Let’s get to it:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
And the Oscar goes to . . . The Revenant. A sprawling and challenging revenge epic, this is the kind of heavy drama the Academy tends to favor. In a true neck-and-neck race, it’s got the muscle to overtake Spotlight. Still not convinced? Don’t forget it’s a box office studio hit, and a BAFTA and Golden Globe award winner that garnered the most nominations — and its director, Birdman helmer Alejandro G. Inarritu, is poised to take home back-to-back trophies. Hate to admit it, but it’s true: An angry mamma bear will always triumph over scrappy journalists.
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
And the Oscar goes to . . . Leonardo DiCaprio. If you’re entering an Oscar pool and pick someone other than this five-time nominee, then I must seriously question your desire to win. The actor already has a shelf full of trophies for his grueling near-silent performance as 19th century fur trapper in peril, and he’s a lock for the golden guy as well. He probably should have won it two years ago for The Wolf of Wall Street, but no matter. The man is due. Plus, did you hear he ate raw bison to prep for the role????
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
And the Oscar goes to . . . Brie Larson. Blanchett and Lawrence have a case, but they each won in this category five minutes ago. Now the path is clear for Larson, who delivers a blistering turn as a devoted mom in the indie drama — and, like DiCaprio, has won every major award leading up to the big night. And hey, maybe her victory will finally convince people to see Room, which is one of the top 10 lowest-grossing Best Picture nominee in the past 33 years. (You can download it now on iTunes!)
Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Marky Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
And the Oscar goes to . . . Sylvester Stallone. C’mon, is there anyone not rooting for Stallone to win gold 39 years after he lost the Best Actor race for the same role in Rocky? The 69-year-old star — already a seasoned pro at ambling up a flight of steps — is the sentimental choice here among voters and fans alike. He’s also the correct one. That said, if SAG winner Idris Elba got a nod for Beasts of No Nation, this race would have been a lot more interesting.
Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
And the Oscar goes to . . . Alicia Vikander. This is the closest one to call, and it’s difficult to resist the image of precious Kate and Leo photo opps with their Oscars. Yet there’s no denying Vikander, the current It Girl who enjoyed a monster breakout year (see: Ex_Machina. No, really. See it). She just won the SAG and her turn as the conflicted wife of a transgender pioneer is so meaty that it should have been in the Best Actress category. Semi-related intrigue: Will she thank her boyfriend and fellow nominee, Michael Fassender?
...And the Rest!
Best Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
Best Original Screenplay: Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: Adam McKay & Charles Randolph, The Big Short
Best Animated Feature: Inside Out
Best Foreign Language Film: The Son of Saul
Best Documentary: Amy
Best Documentary Short: Body Team 12
Best Live Action Short: Ave Maria
Best Animated Short: Sanjays Super Team
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: “Til It Happens to You,” Lady Gaga & Diane Warren
Best Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Cinematography: The Revenant
Best Costume Design: Carol
Best Film Editing: The Revenant
Best Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
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